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1000Reasons
DOSSIER · PRESIDENTUPDATED JUN 2026

Bola Ahmed Tinubu

President of Nigeria · APC

Assessment Profile06

President Tinubu's first three years produced structural macroeconomic reforms — fuel subsidy removal, naira float, and four landmark tax overhaul bills — that multilateral institutions credit as necessary corrections. The four graded axes score a composite of 37/100, which sits in the low-D range. However, the holistic assessment weights the scale of lived harm above that composite: headline inflation peaked at 34.8 percent, the poverty rate rose from 56 percent to 63 percent pushing roughly 140 million Nigerians into poverty, pump fuel prices surged more than 420 percent in 18 months, and over 10,217 people were killed in security attacks across seven states in his first two years. An Integrity axis rating of F — driven by three consecutive years without a public asset declaration despite repeated SERAP and IMF requests, compounded by OCCRP recognition and unresolved high-value allegations — further anchors the downward assessment. When catastrophic human outcomes of this magnitude and a sustained pattern of transparency failures are weighed alongside macro reform credit, the holistic overall falls in the failing range.

HIGHLOWDPromisesDGovernanceDDeliveryFIntegrity
Legal Record07

This grade rates performance in office, not any person’s guilt. Criminal matters appear above only as their court status. How we grade.

Sources40
  1. 1Fuel subsidy cut will save Nigeria but impose burden: PresidentAl Jazeera · 2023-06-12
  2. 2Fuel subsidy removal: Labour leaders react to Tinubu's inaugural speechVanguard News · 2023-05-29
  3. 3Naira records strongest 2025 performance at official, parallel marketsTheCable · 2025-08-01
  4. 4Nigeria: Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today, January 19, 2026AllAfrica / Legit.ng · 2026-01-19
  5. 5510,000 students benefit from NELFUND — TinubuPremium Times · 2025-01-01
  6. 6President Tinubu signs Students Loan Amendment Bill into lawNational Universities Commission · 2024-04-03
  7. 7Tinubu signs N68.32tn 2026 budget, extends 2025 capital spending to JuneThe Guardian Nigeria · 2026-01-01
  8. 8BudgIT: NASS inserted 11,122 projects worth N6.9trn in 2025 budgetDaily Trust · 2025-05-01
  9. 9President Tinubu Signs Four Tax Bills Into LawNALTF / Official · 2025-06-26
  10. 10Nigeria's President Bola Ahmed Tinubu signs landmark 2024 Nigerian Tax Reform Bills into lawVialto Partners · 2025-06-26
  11. 11Nigeria: Tinubu Presents N47.96trn 2025 BudgetAllAfrica · 2024-12-18
  12. 12President Tinubu swears in seven new ministersNairametrics · 2024-11-04
  13. 13Tinubu's Emergency Proclamation in Rivers State — An Unconstitutional OverreachPLAC Legist · 2025-03-01
  14. 14Nigeria: Reactions As Tinubu Ends Emergency Rule in RiversAllAfrica · 2025-09-18
  15. 15IMF Staff Completes 2025 Article IV Mission with NigeriaInternational Monetary Fund · 2025-07-01
  16. 16IMF raises Nigeria's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 3.4%Nairametrics · 2025-07-02
  17. 17Nigeria's poverty rate climbs to 63% despite easing inflation — World BankVanguard News · 2026-04-01
  18. 18Nigeria Poverty and Equity Brief: October 2025World Bank · 2025-10-01
  19. 19From N198 to N1,300: The over 420% Alarming Surge of Fuel Prices in 18 MonthsThisDay Live · 2024-10-21
  20. 20From N175 to N1,030: How PMS prices skyrocketed under Tinubu as petroleum ministerPunch · 2024-09-01
  21. 21NISER Brief — Consumer Price Index Rebasing and Cost of Living Reality in NigeriaNigerian Institute of Social and Economic Research · 2025-04-01
  22. 22Nigeria Inflation RateTrading Economics
  23. 23Tinubu's 3 years: Major economic indicators surgeBlueprint Newspapers · 2026-05-29
  24. 24Nigeria: Dangote Refinery Supplied 23.5 Million Litres of Petrol Daily in NovemberAllAfrica / NMDPRA · 2025-12-10
  25. 25Nigeria's Dangote Refinery to Supply 1.5 Billion Liters of Fuel MonthlyBloomberg · 2025-12-01
  26. 26World Report 2026: NigeriaHuman Rights Watch · 2026-01-01
  27. 27Nigeria's deep insecurity demands more than an emergency declarationISS Africa · 2025-01-01
  28. 28Start with a clean slate, make public your assets, investments, SERAP tells TinubuSERAP Nigeria · 2023-05-28
  29. 29First year anniversary: It is time to publish your assets, SERAP tells TinubuSERAP Nigeria · 2024-05-26
  30. 30Asset declaration: Tinubu must tell Nigerians the source of his wealthVanguard News · 2025-02-01
  31. 31Asset declaration: Nigerians deserve to know how Tinubu acquired his wealthBusinessDay NG · 2024-07-01
  32. 322024 OCCRP report naming Tinubu among most corrupt leaders resurfaces onlineFactCheckHub · 2025-01-01
  33. 33Fact-Check: Did US Court Convict Tinubu over Drug Dealings?PRNigeria · 2022-11-17
  34. 34U.S. court releases certified true copies of Bola Tinubu's drug dealing, money laundering case in ChicagoPeoples Gazette Nigeria · 2023-01-01
  35. 35Tinubu, Alpha-beta, others accused of fraud, tax evasion, money launderingPremium Times · 2020-01-01
  36. 36Former Alpha-Beta Employee Alleges Bribery, Intimidation, Corruption at Tinubu-Linked Lagos Revenue Consulting FirmSahara Reporters · 2025-12-21
  37. 37Outrage as EFCC, ICPC ignore Tinubu-linked tax consulting firm Alpha Beta fraud petitionsSahara Reporters · 2026-04-15
  38. 38How a certificate scandal almost upset Tinubu's presidential win in NigeriaAl Jazeera · 2023-10-26
  39. 39Hope or Hardship for Nigeria? Tinubu's Economic Reforms and their FalloutHuman Rights Watch · 2024-10-24
  40. 40AD958: Nigerians say country is headed in wrong direction, oppose fuel-subsidy removalAfrobarometer · 2024-01-01